PC shipments are expected to dip 6.2 percent in 2015, said IDC – thanks to competition from tablets and smartphones and generally low demand.
The market almost saw stable shipments in mid-2014 as the end of support for Windows XP boosted demand for replacements.
IDC predicts that Windows 10 should be a significant contributor to the PC market – providing an upgrade path from Windows 7 for commercial users and a range of features boosting convenience and integrating the user experience across platforms.
Changes like the free upgrade option for consumers and platform integration aren’t expected to drive a surge in new PC shipments, said IDC.
The consumer transition to Windows 10 should happen quickly, but the free upgrade reduces the need for a new PC and IDC expects many consumers will continue to prioritize spending on phones, tablets, and wearable devices like the Apple Watch during the holiday season.
Microsoft and PC vendors still need to convince users of the advantages of the new OS and new PCs, which will take some time, said Loren Loverde, Vice President, Worldwide PC Trackers.
The impact of competing products, as well as the strong US dollar and weak commodity prices have also constrained spending – particularly abroad. This has especially affected the consumer segment, while commercial demand remains stronger in both mature and emerging regions.